Prof. Bainbridge cheerfully passes along an AP article about a new study by the U.S. Geological Survey and California Geological Survey describing what they see as a likely scenario for a major Southern California earthquake. As you'd guess, it's scary. Not Sichuan-quake scary, but pretty damned scary nonetheless.
Major fires following the quake would cause the most damage, said Keith Porter, of the University of Colorado, Boulder, who studied physical damage for the scenario.
The quake would likely spark 1,600 fires that would destroy 200 million square feet of housing and residential properties worth between $40 billion and $100 billion, according to the scenario.
It's likely to happen in my lifetime. I hope it's not when I'm up here on the 40th floor.
Last 5 posts by Ken White
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