Monty Hall Campaign Does Not Yield Grasp of Probability
Over at Dubious Quality, Bill Harris' reliably entertaining Friday Links feature (and I don't praise it just because he linked to us last week) has a link to my old nemesis: the Monty Hall Problem. As described in this NYT article and further in this much older NYT article, the Monty Hall Problem is a highly counterintuitive probability puzzle. I've never been able to wrap my brain around the currently accepted correct answer and remain skeptical, all emerging consensus aside. I am somewhat comforted that thousands of mathematicians and scientists originally agreed with me. Read Bill's summary and the articles — they are fascinating and infuriating.
Last 5 posts by Ken White
- Follow-Up: U.C. Berkeley Chancellor Nicholas Dirks Gets Free Speech Right This Time - September 12th, 2014
- The Quality of Mercy Is Not Strained, But It May Have A Litmus Test - September 11th, 2014
- [Rerun from 2011] Ten Things I Want My Kids To Learn From 9/11 - September 11th, 2014
- Yale Might Want To Look Into Some Sort of Basic Civic Literacy Course - September 10th, 2014
- U.C. Berkeley Chancellor Nicholas Dirks Gets Free Speech Very Wrong - September 6th, 2014